Which CS:GO Weapon Cases are dropping?

Weapon Case drops fall into one of three categories, Prime, Non-Prime and Rare. Any weapon case can be marked as rare. For example, the CS:GO Weapon Case is marked as a rare drop and as such has a very low drop rate. Equally, the most recent weapon case (e.g. Fracture Case) which is exclusive to Prime players can still be dropped to Non-Prime players as a rare weapon case drop.

The general rule of thumb is that when a new case is released it is initially an exclusive drop in the Prime Drop Pool. Meanwhile, the oldest case in the prime drop pool is moved to the non-prime drop pool. Consequently, the oldest case in the non-prime pool is then moved to the rare drop pool (often incorrectly referred to as ‘discontinued’).

Prime Drops

Prime weapon case drops are available to players who have Prime Status on their CS:GO account. These are typically weapon cases which were introduced recently. Whilst these weapon cases are usually not available to Non-Prime players, they can still be dropped in very rare instances.

Prime Status can be obtained by either purchasing the Prime Status Upgrade from the Steam store or by reaching Profile Level 21 in CS:GO.

Fracture Case

06 August 2020

Prisma 2 Case

31 March 2020

Prisma Case

13 March 2019

Danger Zone Case

06 December 2018

Clutch Case

15 February 2018

Non-Prime Drops

Non-Prime weapon case drops are only available to players who do not have Prime Status on their CS:GO account. These are typically weapon cases which were introduced a few years ago. Whilst these weapon cases are usually not available to Prime players, they can still be dropped in very rare instances.

CS20 Case

18 October 2019

Horizon Case

02 August 2018

Spectrum 2 Case

14 September 2017

Gamma 2 Case

18 August 2016

Chroma 3 Case

27 April 2016

Revolver Case

8 December 2015

Discontinued Cases

Discontinued weapon cases do not drop at all and are only available via the Steam Community Market and through trading.

Whilst not officially confirmed, it is widely accepted within the CS:GO community that the eSports cases available between 2013 and 2014 are no longer available as their original purpose was to raise funds for the major prize pools.

eSports 2013 Winter Case

18 December 2013

eSports 2013 Case

14 August 2013

Rare Cases

Rare weapon cases (often incorrectly referred to as ‘discontinued’) are available to prime and non-prime players. These cases were typically either released several years ago or were previously exclusive to operation pass holders.

As the name would suggest, these cases drop in very rare instances (some players reportedly only receiving a ‘rare’ case drop once a year).


CS:GO Operation Weapon Cases

Operation Weapon Cases are initially only available to operation pass holders throughout the duration of the operation. At the conclusion of the operation these weapon cases are made available as drops to all players. However, the most recent operations Hydra and Shattered Web immediately discontinued these weapon cases at the conclusion of each operation and as such have increased in value due to their increasing rarity.


In Chronological Order

These weapon cases have been ordered by release date with the most recent at the top.

Operation Bravo Case

03 December 2020

Operation Bravo Case

06 August 2020

Operation Bravo Case

31 March 2020

Operation Bravo Case

18 November 2019

Operation Bravo Case

18 October 2019

Operation Bravo Case

30 September 2019

Operation Bravo Case

13 March 2019

Operation Bravo Case

06 December 2018

Operation Bravo Case

02 August 2018

Operation Bravo Case

15 February 2018

Operation Bravo Case

14 September 2017

Operation Bravo Case

15 March 2017

Operation Bravo Case

28 November 2016

Operation Bravo Case

18 August 2016

Operation Bravo Case

15 June 2016

Operation Bravo Case

27 April 2016

Operation Bravo Case

17 February 2016

Operation Bravo Case

8 December 2015

Operation Bravo Case

17 September 2015

Operation Bravo Case

26 May 2015

Operation Bravo Case

15 April 2015

Operation Bravo Case

8 January 2015

Operation Bravo Case

12 February 2014

Operation Bravo Case

18 December 2013

Operation Bravo Case

8 November 2013

Operation Bravo Case

19 September 2013

Operation Bravo Case

14 August 2013

Operation Bravo Case

14 August 2013


Opening Cases

Opening a CS:GO Weapon Case requires the case-specific key to be purchased from within the CS:GO game client. The exceptions to this rule is souvenir packages, gift packages and the X-Ray P250 Package.

These keys were previously sold regularly on the Steam Community Market but after changes imposed by Valve in an update on 28 October 2019 keys have since become a collectible item. This is due to the fact that any keys purchased within the CS:GO game client after 28 October 2019 are non-tradeable and non-marketable, and therefore locked into the Steam account which purchased them.


What is the CS:GO case probability?

The following odds are based on opening 125.12 CS:GO cases. The odds of unboxing a StatTrak skin are 10% of the normal skin odds.

Rarity Normal StatTrak
Mil-spec 79.92% 7.99%
Restricted 15.98% 1.59%
Classified 3.2% 0.32%
Covert 0.64% 0.064%
Rare Special Item 0.26% 0.026%

StatTrak

StatTrak skins are exclusive to weapon cases and are near identical to their normal counterpart but include a digital six digit counter attached to the weapon.

The counter increments by one for each kill a player makes with the StatTrak weapon skin. Kills made against bots are not counted. If another player picks up someone elses StatTrak weapon the counter will begin flashing between “ERROR” and “UNKNOWN USER”. Any kills made by this player will not be counted.

The counter is reset when the skin is traded or sold on the Steam community market. The value of the StatTrak counter can be transferred to another StatTrak skin using the StatTrakā„¢ Swap Tool which can be purchased ingame and via the Steam community market.


Souvenir CS:GO Skins

Souvenir skins are exclusive to souvenir packages. They are not unboxed from weapon cases.

Berlin 2019 Vertigo Souvenir Package

Release Date

The release date for weapon cases has never been consistent. Valve very rarely announces a weapon case in advance of the update that makes it available ingame.

When the next CS:GO weapon case will be released is not known. However, the recent trend has been three weapon cases released each year. The first in Q1, the second in Q3 and the third in Q4.

Year Weapon Cases Total
2021 None released yet 0
2020 Prisma 2 Case, Fracture Case, Operation Broken Fang Case 3
2019 Prisma Case, CS20 Case, Shattered Web Case 3
2018 Clutch Case, Horizon Case, Danger Zone Case 3
2017 Spectrum Case, Operation Hydra Case, Spectrum 2 Case 3
2016 Operation Wildfire Case, Chroma 3 Case, Gamma Case, Gamma 2 Case, Glove Case 5
2015 Chroma Case, Chroma 2 Case, Falchion Case, Shadow Case, Revolver Case 5
2014 CS:GO Weapon Case 3, Operation Phoenix Weapon Case, Huntsman Weapon Case, Operation Breakout Weapon Case, eSports 2014 Summer Case, Operation Vanguard Weapon Case 6
2013 CS:GO Weapon Case, eSports 2013 Case, Operation Bravo Case, CS:GO Weapon Case 2, eSports 2013 Winter Case, Winter Offensive Weapon Case 6